Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy

Estimating DSGE models with persistent dynamics

Recent literature points out that key variables such as aggregate productivity and in‡ation display long memory dynamics. We study the implications of this high degree of persistence on the estimation of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. We …rst show that long memory data can produce substantial bias in the deep parameter estimates when a standard Kalman Filter-MLE procedure...

Tests of Policy Interventions in DSGE Models∗

This paper considers tests of the effectiveness of a policy intervention, defined as a change in the parameters of a policy rule, in the context of a macroeconometric dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We consider two types of intervention, first the standard case of a parameter change that does not alter the steady state, and second one that does alter the steady state, e.g. ...

Policy Analysis Using DSGE Models: An Introduction

n recent years, there has been a significant evolution in the formulation and communication of monetary policy at a number of central banks around the world. Many of these banks now present their economic outlook and policy strategies to the public in a more formal way, a process accompanied by the introduction of modern analytical tools and advanced econometric methods in forecasting and polic...

Money Demand Sensitivity to Interest Rates: the Case of Japan’s Zero-interest Rate Policy

The goal of this paper is to provide new evidence on how the zero-interest rate policy implemented by the Bank of Japan has affected the sensitivity of money demand with respect to the opportunity cost of holding money. To the empirical ends of the analysis, the study makes use of the univariate conditional autoregressive value-at-risk (CAViaR) estimator to obtain robust quantile measures. The ...

Global Knowledge, Local Solutions: Interest Rate and Monetary Policy